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CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2014-08-25T15:01:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2014-08-25T15:01Z
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
----

Predicted Arrival Time: 2014-08-28T18:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.0 - 5.0
Prediction Method: WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)
Prediction Method Note:

WSA-ENLIL+Cone Model For 2.0 AU with Completion Time: 2014-08-26T04:34Z

Model Inputs:
2014-08-25T15:36:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=74.0, Lat.=12.0, Speed=500.0, HalfAngle=60.0, Time21.5=2014-08-25T22:15Z 
2014-08-25T21:24:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=77.0, Lat.=12.0, Speed=800.0, HalfAngle=35.0, Time21.5=2014-08-26T01:15Z 

Model Outputs:
Earth Impact:
(Glancing Blow) Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2014-08-28T18:00Z (confidence level +- 7 hours)

Other Location(s) Impact:

Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20140825_221500_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif 
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20140825_221500_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif 
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20140825_221500_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif 
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20140825_221500_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_B.gif 
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20140825_221500_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif 
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20140825_221500_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_B.gif 
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20140825_221500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif 
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20140825_221500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif 
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20140825_221500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif 
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20140825_221500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STB_timeline.gif 
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20140825_221500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif 
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20140825_221500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mess_timeline.gif 
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20140825_221500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Spitz_timeline.gif 
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20140825_221500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif

Lead Time: 61.43 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Leila Mays (GSFC) on 2014-08-26T04:34Z

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